State Policies and Projects (Macquarie Point Precinct) Order 2025
Hon. Mike Gaffney MLC
Member for Mersey
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3 December 2025
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Mr GAFFNEY (Mersey) - Madam Deputy President, before I begin my speech, I take this opportunity to congratulate those individuals who have been involved with the Tasmanian AFL and AFLW teams. At all times the people involved with the Tasmania Devils teams have acted with enthusiasm, have created a supported environment for the team and the Tasmanian community. I thank them for that.
I do not often in this Chamber give a lengthy speech, usually 15 to 20 minutes. The forest wars speech was quite long in 2011, same sex marriage in 2014, and in more recent times my voluntary assisted dying bill second reading speech in 2020 was quite long, but this is going to be a lengthy contribution. I believe I need to put on the record the case I'm making on behalf of the Tasmanians who are supportive of an AFL team but not at any cost, and for those Tasmanians who do not want to damage forever the beautiful vista, the site of significance of our Aboriginal heritage, site of remembrance, and the historic feel of the whole Hobart area. This site is going to change once this order gets passed, and it will be changed forever, irrevocably.
To the Yes Team, Yes Stadium supporters, you may wish to tune out for my contribution and return to the screen in about 90 minutes. To the Yes Team, No Stadium Tasmanian majority you may wish to listen, but be able to go away for a coffee or something at some time, and to the No Team, No Stadium you're probably not listening anyway and have probably been forgotten throughout the debate, especially those who have no wish to play and watch football.
Indeed, the young non-sporting child or young person and adult, we have hopes that you will also receive opportunities you deserve to develop your own aspirational goals and that your interests.
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​While I was adding final changes to my speech, I received a media release which had indicated the government now had the numbers for the order. Whilst I was disappointed, I was not surprised. Indeed, months ago when I started receiving emails and/or correspondence from Yes Stadium supporters - and I always try to respond in a timely manner - in my response I actually included quite prophetic comments saying, 'However, I do feel at this time the government will have the numbers in the upper House,' and that's been my speech for the last three months.
I was confident with three Liberals plus the Leader and two Labor, giving a total of six members who would vote for the stadium passing, only two more members were required for this order to pass. In recent times, observing the commentary within the Chamber and throughout the media and within the community, it came as no surprise that the majority of eight was achieved. However, it is important for me to read into Hansard my thoughts about the stadium as I am representing Tasmanians who are quite bewildered about what has occurred, and this stadium project is our pathway to Tasmania's economic recovery.
I sometimes also feel when I'm speaking, I try to speak quickly to get off the stage, but I'm not going to on this one because this is really important. Whilst my speech will not change members or indeed seek to change the views of those listening, I will present my thoughts to have them recorded as part of this debate.
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Madam Deputy President, a few months ago now I had already prepared a speech foreshadowing this very topic. However, as we know, the government put forward several novel proposals for the future of Tasmania, including a privatisation agenda as an attempt to bail out our exploding debt to sell off the family silver.
Tasmania's money surplus was sometimes referenced in previous years as the 'hay in the barn' or the 'rivers of gold'. I think the river has dried up and there's no barn, let alone any hay to put in it.
An opposition-led challenge sent Tasmanians back to the polls only just over a year after the last state election, costing the state even more. After this, in a post-election road to Damascus, some of these proposals have been revised and some dropped entirely for simply being poor ideas. Nonetheless, there is one idea that the drowning Liberal and Labor parties have clung on to like their lives depended on it, and that was the dead weight of the Macquarie Point Stadium. Despite the clear and well-reasoned opposition, despite the accepted need for fiscal responsibility, and despite broad acceptance that the government clearly has no idea of the actual financial impost that the project will have on Tasmania.
Of the two times I've spoken to this matter, one was in support of the notice of motion from the member for Nelson. The first time that I spoke, I put to you that many Tasmanians want an AFL team, but not if it comes at the cost of multi-generational debt and seemingly ceding the control of government finances to the AFL.
Consequently, I made the point, as many have, that support for a Tasmanian AFL team cannot and should not equate to support for a stadium at Macquarie Point, especially now that the government has recently announced it will now come at a cost of over $1 billion. One briefing, we heard it went from $1.1 billion to $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion, finishing at $2.4 billion by the time this is built. That is not if we actually include interest on the debt. The member for Murchison has previously covered the debt situation and the financial impost and consequences that will continue to grow with the stadium build.
It was my view that the government has been naive in its approach to the AFL. The Liberal government is allowing this to happen, committing us to an unneeded stadium in a sensitive and historically-important location - and without any mandate whatsoever. All the AFL has done is to hold the Premier to the contract he signed, complete with a pipe dream of an unfunded stadium. As such, I fully supported the member for Nelson, Meg Webb's previous motion seeking to reopen negotiations with the AFL to ensure that Tasmania gets a fair deal. To me, this was preferable to the current strategy using undemocratic, unrepresentative government processes to force legislation through this parliament.
We do have an opposition, but one that consistently toes the line of the government it should be opposing; an opposition that has consistently failed to side with most Tasmanians on this issue. We look at the lion rampant in our state flag, but where is the courage in our opposition to take on the government in this farce? The abject failure of Labor in the last election, which it forced, alongside the doubling of the votes of stadium-opposing independents, tells its own story.
However, there yet may be trouble in the mill in the ALP, as whilst the Hobart-based parliamentary Labor Party may well be in furious public agreement about supporting the stadium, its grassroots branches may beg to differ. Only last week, the secretary of the evonport branch was at pains to share with us all at a recent branch resolution urging the Tasmanian PLP not to support the construction of the Macquarie Point Stadium by the state government. In her covering email, the secretary added:
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¦ There is a great deal of opposition to this development along the north-west coast, and as a branch, we felt it was important that you as a Legislative Councilor should be aware of this before the matter comes up for debate in your Chamber.
The resolution cited two points from a range of compelling reasons to say no. One: the final report of the Tasmanian Planning Commission, a panel of experts identified, amongst a range of issues, both continuing and significant cost increases and the inappropriate location. Two: increasing state debt, now at $13 billion with over $600 million a year in interest and rapidly increasing, which does not yet include further cost increases for construction of the stadium and associated works.
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The fact that this resolution was moved by former senator, Nick Sherry, and an experienced financial adviser, who was also an administrator of Tasmanian Labor suggests that it's Hobart-based leadership is out of touch with the views of its grassroots membership.
Indeed, many Merseysiders have reminded me that the Bacon, Lennon and Crean leadership team for Labor made it quite clear regarding the state plan. That cricket was going to be based in Hobart and now basketball is, and that football was to be focused in Launceston. The Devonport Labor branch still remembers that vision and future cohesive plan for the state, and there was pain when that actually was discussed and put forward by the party at that time. We can remember that, but Bacon or that group saw that was important, to make sure the whole of Tasmania had access to top-class sporting sporting and infrastructure.
I was always led to believe that party branches were strongly associated with their elected members in their region. One could argue the Labor Party leader would not allow a conscience vote for fear that some party members might reflect the feeling from within their own local community. How dare they represent their community? It is well-known there are members of the government who voiced their disapproval, especially those in the north, about this project. When the Premier suggested the POSS project would allow all 50 members the right and responsibility to vote, that wasn't accurate at all as 37 or 38 of those members of are party members. I don't think passes the pub test to imply that all 50 parliamentarians were able to vote on their conscience. They weren't. They were not allowed.
The issues I originally found with the stadium proposal area are as salient as ever. Many Tasmanians have told me they do not want the stadium, while the Premier continues to pretend that support for a team must equal support for the debt millstone that comes with a new stadium, only because he signed off on that contract. I also wanted to make it known there are definite supporters of the stadium in my electorate. However, the government has doubled down on its questionable practices by introducing this bill to force the stadium proposal past all due process.
Might does not equal right and it is simply wrong-headed to expect members of parliament to act as planning experts even though we are not. The abuse of power is unfathomable, with the government pressuring the parliament to capitulate to its undemocratic lawmaking to pass this shoddy idea. It is deeply concerning for me these issues continue to go unaddressed and unacknowledged as the government tramples all over proper governance and the opposition looks the other way.
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As Mr Patrick McGrath writes in the Mercury:
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The AFL bankroll's struggling expansion teams in disengaged markets but when Tasmania, a football heartland that delivers consistent crowds and pipeline of elite talent, asked for a licence, we are told to cough up a billion-dollar stadium first.
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he stadium deal prioritises Australian Rules football when it does not need to. It is to the detriment of Tasmanians. The numbers do not work; there is no valid business case, and the use of what is a unique parcel of land is an appalling disaster.
Many Tasmanians in my electorate, I believe, are opposed to the deal, noting that Tasmania has a population of approximately 570 000 people. We should not forget some of whom could not give two hoots about Australian Rules football. I suggest that, for many Tasmanians, the effect has been to see the AFL as controlling the process with the government acquiescing and the Yes AFL, Yes Stadium lobby group providing excitement, voice - and good on them - and business and industry advice and support. Yet not many private investors have stepped up to the plate that I am aware of.
I must make clear here too, the group that met with us to talk about how it would run when it was passed, if it got through, I am very comfortable with that process, but it should not even get to there. Many of us are wondering how the very idea of a new AFL stadium became such a deal breaker. I think a recent email sent to all of us points to Olson's theory of the logic of collective action. The central tenet is that there is an inverse relationship between group size and the effectiveness of lobbying. To quote directly from the email:
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It explains why policies that benefit very small minority groups, such as agricultural subsidies and import tariffs, are so prevalent in society. Numerous peer-reviewed papers in the economic literature have applied the logic of collective action theorem to explain why pro-stadium supporters are disproportionately vocal, well-funded, and are so effective in their use of threats - that is, the use of the threat of 'no stadium no team' - is straight out of the stadium-boosters playbook, a promise that tediously accompanies every stadium debate across the world.
Essentially, with small interest groups - that is, concentrated benefits, such as the pro-stadium crowd - the per-capita benefit is incredibly high. For example, they stand to gain in excess of $2 billion in taxpayers' money, prime waterfront land, and other people's kids forgoing other sports and hobbies in order to play their passion that is AFL, providing strong incentive for each member to actively lobby, contribute their resources and time, and turn up.
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It perhaps explains why the pro-stadium crowd are all in, as whilst they have the whole state behind them in getting a team, they will never get a better chance to bulldoze their stadium into the Hobart CBD, regardless of the cost and the long-term impact on Tasmania as a whole. They simply don't care how it will be paid for or the damage it will do to our long-term finances. It goes beyond wanting a team at any cost into demanding a stadium at any cost.
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However, Tasmanians are very community minded, and it was very pleasing and didn't surprise me at all to see 200,000 people across Australia supporting our own AFL team. I signed up with my $10 for the team, as did many north-west coasters. I did not support a newly built stadium at Macquarie Point, nor do many people who speak to me in my electorate. The second time I spoke to this matter more recently, I made the point that the stadium will be a watershed moment for Tasmania, one of the most consequential economic and political projects to come before parliament in recent history. I called on the major parties to allow the members to hold a conscience vote on the stadium. Not one of those leaders took up that.
In short, members in both Houses have a direct and ultimate responsibility to their respective electorates. However, in this matter, the overwhelming majority of members in both Houses will be forced to vote with the will of their party, often against their electorate. Meanwhile, each published public opinion poll has shown the vast majority oppose the proposal, especially in rural and regional electorates. I stated in my prior speech that:
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Despite the Premier brokering the stadium deal with the Labor Party's support, it does not mean all Liberal and Labor members think that the deal will be in the best interest of their constituents, or indeed, Tasmanians as a whole. Hence the motion from the Devonport ALP branch about the stadium. And it was a deal, a deal which was sprung on Tasmanians and a deal that has unfortunately divided Tasmanians.
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We, as members, are damned if we support the project, and damned if we don't. Of course, the government is attempting to bypass proper process on the basis that this politically untenable situation will pressure parliament to fold to its whims.
It must be hard for many party members in this place in the lower House - no, its not because I have heard from members here - to have a vote in favour of the Macquarie Point stadium, especially when they know full well that a significant majority of voters in their electorates are not in favour of the stadium deal, especially those from the north of the state. It's farcical to me that both parties happily accepted that Tasmania is in financial dire straits, toing and froing about how to remedy it, whilst fiddling as our financial situation is getting worse. Despite this, they expect their members to blindly vote in favour of the most controversial and impactful fiscal decision of recent history, irrespective of whether it will actually benefit their electorate.
It makes it hard to vote on this matter as an Independent member of the upper House. The government has bypassed proper process, relied on the capitulation of the primary opposition, and is undeniably operating in bad faith to get this build through.
The Legislative Council is the final bastion of proper process as Independents hold the swing. Therefore, Independent members have been forced into the position where even when they support the project, they must still capitulate to pressure by the government to allow its bad-faith lawmaking. And, if they wish to reflect their constituents and not support the stadium, or cannot bring themselves to allow such bad governmental practice as I suggest, they should not, and they will inevitably be subject to intimidation, distasteful and disrespectful dialogues, and appearing as myopic and out-of-touch and not forward-thinking.
No matter a member's position. They are subject to unfair and unprecedented expectations, pressure, and required to act in a planning capacity beyond which is expected in parliament. All this is simply because the government did not want to follow the proper process.
I've been in this place for 16 years, and like the members for McIntyre and Murchison, this is the toughest it's been in all those times. This brings me to the core of my direct response to the enabling legislation. Simply put, it is our role to act on the considered needs and hopes of our constituents, and not to vote in good conscience for what best reflects the will of our electorate. Following this, I feel compelled to vote against this development as a poor use of public money, a shoddy idea, and extraordinary governmental abuse of process.
I've received considerable correspondence on this matter from people and organisations across the state. I make a point of genuinely considering the opinion of and responding to each person who writes to me. I feel that it is our duty to respond to the needs of our electorate and constituents across Tasmania. I'm sure most members in this House feel the same.
Of those who wrote to me, a staggering majority have been opposed to the stadium. I have a folder for 'for' the stadium and for 'against' the stadium. I respond to each one, because if you only have a 0.8 staffer, they've got other things to do. I had a total of 2478 emails. The 'for's were 547; the 'against' was 1931. In these emails, I've received a range of diverse, informative and genuine feedback by qualified and insightful Tasmanians, many of whom have professional knowledge and experience, and are deeply concerned about the stadium, and have dedicated countless hours to making thoughtful and relevant submissions.
I can reinforce the statements made by other members here about the very few templated responses that I received. The ones I really liked were the ones that obviously came from some elderly men or ladies who had taken their time to painstakingly write their point of view. It sometimes annoys me when I hear people using ageist comments at some of the presentations, but I will get back to that a bit later.
Although most have a similar position supporting an AFL team, the stadium infrastructure build is another matter entirely. I cannot for the life of me understand why the Premier accepted or even started to negotiate for this dubious, divisive and disgraceful deal.
From the host of correspondents, one thing is certain: I genuinely believe that for my electorate, and more broadly the entirety of Tasmania, the Macquarie Point Stadium is an unwanted and unwelcome idea.
I must question whether those so staunchly in support of the stadium proposal do truly listen to and consider their constituents. How can one in good faith ignore the breadth of opposition to the stadium from expert economists, architects, community leaders, mums and dads, and everyday Tasmanians, and even from mainland and international actors, and throw it all out in favour of imaginary economic outcomes and fictional benefits? It's snake oil. It both baffles and frustrates me.
Just look at the way this project has gone down. Failing proper process, the two major parties have used their combined numbers to force-bypass by passing enabling legislation through the lower House, compelling their members to vote against the interests and needs of their constituents. Now they expect the upper House to capitulate and do the same, solely based on public pressure and fantastical promises.
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As a writer opened a letter to me:
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Dear Mr Gaffney, you will soon be asked (or bullied) to approve the expenditure of some $1.5 billion for a stadium and Macquarie Point and its add-ons.
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I will though, I don't get bullied and 99 per cent of my interactions have been positive and respectful. There have been a couple of poorly worded comments and responses, mainly out of frustration. Frustration, I believe, because 15,000 people showed up, they think that's the reason I should change my mind. It's not how it works, not in the role that we're in. Our role is not to say there's a lot of people so pass the legislation. Our role is to say, here's the legislation, is it good, or is this project good?
I also attended that rally and it was fantastic. I will come back to that later, but I also appreciate the 92 people who showed up at Devonport for a rally on the Saturday. They had a megaphone, they had no microphone, they had no wobble boards, they had no water boys advertising, but there were 92 people who showed up and they spoke. They all got up, had a chat on the megaphone about what they thought was wrong. It is disappointing when I hear disparaging remarks about some groups. It's not about age or sexes or race or elitism. I refuse to use that language.
I also contacted a magazine and let them know I didn't like the way they characterised some of the 15,000 people who were at the stadium rally either. I believe some of the words they used were inappropriate. I don't like the words leaders use in this place calling others 'selfish'. I don't think there's any need for that. If we're going to get through this, we have to be better than that.
I should also take the time to mention from the outset that it is not also just older Tasmanians against the stadium proposal. I've seen this stereotype pushed and it is simply wrong. The furphy that somehow only old people care about the economic welfare of our state, and its associated implication that they're not fit to make the decision, is an absurd and insulting position. I saw lots of young people and old people at the pro-stadium rally here last week on Sunday. I've attended various rallies, both for and against, and it could not be further from the truth. I've been observed and been approached by people from all places, all professions and all ages. People care about the future of their state, the future that their children will inherit and must pay for.
Throughout the process, I've continued to believe that the proponents of the stadium proposal are acting in good faith while supporting a bad idea. To my mind the Premier and his predecessor should never have offered the deal he did. He should have intuitively recognised how dangerous it was when he met with the AFL. The AFL did not demand a stadium. The Premier offered it and the AFL said yes.
Tasmania should already have an AFL team, and it must not be conditional on a new stadium at Macquarie Point. This is especially so when no other AFL franchise team has ever been subject to this enormous financial imposition, one which will no doubt weigh down our state for decades and generations. Public debt is spiralling out of control. Is this the time to be committing to well over a billion dollars, even before the inevitable blowout into such a risky venture?
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Frankly, the actions of the government and the primary opposition of the day have gradually pushed me to oppose the stadium. How can we, as a government apparently acting in good faith, underfund and cripple our justice, forensic and integrity entities, continue fiscal mismanagement and expose ourselves internationally to the suggestion that Tasmania is a 'corrupt and scandal-ridden place', as suggested by the Sussex University papers?
One can only question the gravy train for vested interests that this stadium project holds, and for what? Tim Hurburgh, former chair of a Melbourne architectural firm, wrote to me discussing the potential for a stadium without a roof. This much simpler design would remove a third of the cost. More pertinent to the point at hand, he notes that the government gets screwed at every turn with such unique and unprecedented builds.
A point emphasised in Shamus Mulcahy's briefing to us last week, explored the risks involved in agreeing to a blank cheque for the developers as cost projections inevitably spiral, and the 'she'll be right' approach from the government. Once the contract is signed, it's all over. Once the ball starts to roll down the hill, we can't say, 'Oh no, you can't have any more money.' 'What do you mean you can't have any more money? You only have half a field.' 'Well, no, you can't have any more money because you've got to the top.' That's not going to work. We only have to look at the TT-Line experience for the new Spirits docked in East Devonport to get a hint of what is to come.
If we're going to say you only have this much money, the boats wouldn't be here. The ships wouldn't be here. We had to give them more money to get them here. The cost of variations and site surprises will risk bankrupting us in ways we never expected. If that isn't enough, the government of the day continues to sweep damning report after damning report under the rug while ignoring the rule of law, simply to impose what will, for many, be a surprise generational debt on Tasmanians and against their will.
Madam Deputy President, acting in good faith, as an accountable member of the Legislative Council, I simply cannot and will not support this proposal. As a constituent wrote to me on the Tasmanian Planning Commission report:
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This is the best, clear and concrete evidence we have with respect to the proposal for the construction of a stadium at Macquarie Point. It involved public hearings, hundreds of submissions, including from the government and the AFL, and a detailed analysis. The fact that the TPC report is dismissed by the Liberals and Labor as subjective opinion should cause you significant concern.
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This is especially so when such out-of-hand rejection of such a thorough and detailed process and report occurs so quickly after its release and is balanced against nothing more than belief, which I have addressed above. It demonstrates a closed mind by the Liberal minority government and the even more minority Labor opposition, a fanatical bias in favour of the proposal from which nothing will dissuade its proponents. You can, of course, bring a greater analytical focus to the objective evidence.
Such an approach to governance and decision-making as shown by the Liberals and Labor is not reflective of representational democracy nor good government. Each of you collectively constituting the House of review, I'm sure, adopt a far more balanced, nuanced and appropriate decision-making matrix. Indeed, I would suggest that the two questions to be addressed are: is a stadium at Macquarie Point and is the order approving the stadium the right thing for Tasmania? [Inaudible] would and must be approached from a null hypothesis. It is neither good nor bad, but to be considered by weighing up the objective evidence.
This, of course, is not something that has or will occur in the lower House. Both Liberal and Labor offer strident, unequivocal support, notwithstanding the available and objective evidence and acknowledge the opposition of the majority of the electorate, against which the acknowledged majority opposition is all more cynical for some to then seek to refer to stadium support as a silent majority, as though simply saying it will make it true.
Of course, my honourable colleagues, you will be aware we have been asked to act in the place of the planning commission. The government did this after throwing out the report that had been created via proper process, which they also tried to silence. I note that the Tasmanian Planning Commission is the independent statutory body ultimately trusted with reviewing, advising on and determining land use and development matters across Tasmania - the planning backstop for complex applications. However, when the government does not agree with its recommendations, the commission and its learned members are unfairly maligned as uninformed or subjective.
When we met with the TPC last Thursday, I remember asking the question if you were sitting as a planning authority and there is an issue in front of you, are you allowed to have a predetermined position until you hear the evidence? Clearly not. In this situation, we have 50 people acting as a planning authority and 38 of them not only have a predetermined position, they are told how they have to vote, so that process is not a fair and responsible one and doesn't pass the pub test.
The same happened to the multiple economic reports from well-credentialed experts consistently saying the same thing: that the stadium is not a good idea. Well-respected economists with national and international profiles are receiving blame, vilification and having their work discredited. The government has churned through each relevant planning and economic advisory body process - first labelling them as valuable and important, then throwing their advice in the bin when the considered reports and recommendations do not fit the groupthink of the Tasmanian Liberals.
After this, they turn to us members of parliament, telling us to trust them and ignore the well-credentialed experts. I am not a planning expert and although with my 20 years of local government experience and three years as president of the Local Government Association of Tasmania, I'm probably more familiar with planning planning processes than most. We are all members elected to represent the views of our electorate. It is no way proper process to slander or impugn the considered advice of statutory bodies and pretend that members of parliament can do their job instead.
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An article by the Tasmanian Times puts it well:
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The government was forced by two of its own MHAs to refer the stadium project to the Tasmanian Planning Commission for review as a Project of State Significance.
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After an interim report that was overwhelmingly negative, the government attempted to circumvent the process by tabling legislation that would have ended the TPC’s investigations and enabled the stadium to immediately proceed. The TPC stated that they would continue their work and hold public hearings regardless.
After initially saying they would not participate, the government suddenly agreed to do so, having realised that there was no way to prevent the TPC from concluding their work.
This attempt to preempt due process constitutes a clear failure to govern responsibly and in the best interests of the Tasmanian people.
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The work that the Tasmanian Planning Commission was to do was moved by both Houses of parliament, so the government could not tell them that they had to stop.
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The government has attempted to obscure or hide outright the true costs of the stadium which generations of Tasmanian taxpayers will have to bear, and to obscure or minimise the true impacts of the stadium on the cultural and heritage values of the Hobart waterfront and the Cenotaph.
The effort to close down the TPC review was intended to inhibit transparent exposition of the issues in the public square. It would have prevented people from accessing factual information about the project on which to base an opinion, leaving them dependent on marketing spin. These attempts to pull the wool over Tasmanians' eyes are further evidence of the failure to govern responsibly.
The government has chosen to disregard the expert advice of independent economic analysts and the Tasmanian Planning Commission who laid bare the true situation.
The Tasmanian Planning Commission spent one full year examining the project from every angle and concluded that 'the disbenefits would outweigh the benefits' of a stadium at Macquarie Point. In every case, the government tried to impugn the messengers, saying their conclusions were 'a matter of opinion', or suggesting that they were biased, or 'not really' experts. The government’s refusal to listen to these warnings is yet another inexcusable failure, one which could result in a catastrophic collapse of Tasmania's finances in years to come.
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Mr President, I will take a slight detour at this point to read into Hansard a letter my colleagues and I received from a Tasmanian, directly addressing the needs for a government who represents the people in this decision:
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I trust that you will be representing the people of Tasmania when you consider voting on the new stadium proposal in parliament - not just the Tasmanians who love footy and could afford to travel to Hobart for a game, but for all Tasmanians, not just the financially well-off Tasmanians who would find ways around cuts to public services like health and housing, but all Tasmanians.
I am dismayed to think that any more cuts would be required of my colleagues in health, who are already overstretched and stressed as the complexity of health problems increases.
By my calculations, the cost of the proposed stadium equates to between $2000 and $4000 per head of Tasmanians. This money could go a long way to improving the lives of all Tasmanians with ongoing benefits and a large return on investment.
Let me give you just two examples. Example one: housing - make sure every house is insulated. Benefits: reduction in fuel poverty, increase in comfort, reduction in sickness and hospital admissions for asthma, pneumonia and other respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses. It's a win-win.
Example two: return on investment, close to $4 for every $1 invested. Health, expand investment in early childhood programs and initiatives like the First 1000 Days. Benefits: improved education, literacy, increased ability to engage in the workforce, later time to first childbearing. Win-win. Ongoing: return on investment between $4 and $9 for every $1 invested.
I expect that you are authentically representing the actual wants and needs of people of Tasmania when you vote against the Macquarie Point stadium proposal. I trust you have the courage to listen to the people and the experts and vote against.
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The person who wrote this also supplied studies to back the two examples. Notwithstanding, the email puts up the bigger question we are facing in making this decision. Will we, by permitting the stadium to be built, be acting in the best interests of people in Tasmania? Are there not more pressing matters, more beneficial investment opportunities, and needs of Tasmanians that can be made over that of another stadium? To me, the clear and obvious responses to these questions is that, even notwithstanding the numerous and obvious better uses of money, permitting the stadium to be built is not acting in the best interest of Tasmanians.
The stadium will impose an overwhelming financial imposition where the interest compounding a loan will destroy our finances, not to mention our credit ratings being reduced even before a sod is turned or a brick has been laid, before we've even gone into a penny of debt for this proposal. Indeed, another Tasmanian mediator wrote to me a letter to a similar effect, in an attempt to communicate with the Labor and Liberal representatives. He said:
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Learn from the experience that representative democracy in Tasmania is dead or dying, notwithstanding that every poll suggests that the majority, indeed a significant majority of Tasmanians, oppose the stadium for varied and myriad of reasons. The proposal has progressed and absent your vote against the order, the stadium will be built at an unknown and ever-increasing cost. This is all more concerning as Eric Abetz in last week's parliamentary debate regarding motion 36 acknowledged this reality with his comment, 'We all know what the polls say.'
Indeed, we do. They say that Tasmanians do not want this stadium, but that is dismissed by not only Minister Abetz, 'Of course, there will be naysayers, that is the majority of Tasmanian voters. People will warm to this'. No, we won't, and especially not when it's visually destroyed the most beautiful harbour in Australia; but also Mr Willie, 'Nobody ever regrets building a stadium', whereas I strongly suspect we will, as Tasmanians strongly regret doing so if you vote for the order.
Labor and Liberal are not representing their constituents. They do not engage them, they do not listen to them, they do not inform them, nor attempt to discuss or articulate issues or address them. That emailing a local member and requesting a meeting or seeking a response to stated concerns results in silence is a sad reflection on the state of representation and governance in Tasmania.
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It is a sad day when Tasmanians cannot trust their government to put their needs first. It is a sad day when the two major parties neither represent the will of the people nor bother to interact with their constituents. The writer then went on to state:
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I sincerely hope that each of you, as members of the Legislative Council, the House of review, will be more responsive and more interested in good governance and the stated role of the Tasmanian parliament, the peace, order, and good government of Tasmania. To that end, I would plead with you to each reflect with respect to the stadium issue, on the very nature of good government and especially to be asking yourselves the relevant and pertinent questions, indeed the right questions of:
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(1) Is building a stadium at Macquarie Point the right thing for Tasmania?
(2) Is voting for the order for construction of the stadium as drafted the right thing for Tasmania?
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To date, so much of the narrative has been around, 'If we do not build a stadium at Macquarie Point, there will be no team.' With the greatest respect, that is not a relevant question or consideration. The above two questions are those which are relevant and are those which every piece of objective evidence from Gruen and the Tasmanian Planning Commission onwards have answered with a resounding 'no'.
I would urge you to similarly vote no and reject the order and reject the stadium and thus protect and preserve Macquarie Point and for the reasons that I will articulate herein.
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The Legislative Council is the House of review, or as a submission I received in staunch opposition to the stadium labelled it, 'the House of sober second thought.' I put to you that we as reviewers face a quite simple position: to support and agree to endorse such a flawed idea as the stadium would be a failure to act responsibly as a member of the Legislative Council. We've had a bad idea thrust onto us as a last resort and it is being unfairly demanded by the government that we cave to pressure rather than do our job. As a constituent heavily opposed to the stadium said in an email to me:
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It is the responsibility of the members of the Legislative Council to make an informed decision about the proposed stadium based on the business case and professional economic planning and transport planning analysis and advice. If the Legislative Council falls for the government's argument that the stadium will be good for the Tasmanian economy without first considering expert advice based on economic analysis, a detailed business case, a transport, road and traffic impact report, and an impact on city planning analysis, it will betray the very reason for the Council's existence.
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In my response to the constituent who had written this, I stated:
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I am not able to support the current stadium proposal. I believe that would be irresponsible of me as a member of the Legislative Council, the House of review, charged withholding the government of the day to account. It is unfortunate and disappointing that the government has not continued with the project of state significance process as was proposed, expected and accepted by the wider community.
The POSS process would have allowed an opportunity for greater insights into the impacts, the benefits, the challenges and the risks of the stadium proposal. As a result of that decision and as a member of the Legislative Council, there is not adequate information or evidence to support this long-term commitment and financial impost on the people of Tasmania. I will not be supporting any legislation which endeavours to progress the Macquarie Point Stadium.
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That was stated when the government were asking the POSS process to stop. This excerpt highlights another issue with the approach to the stadium deal beyond both major parties defying the will of the public. The government has failed to give any compelling reason why they should undermine the integrity of the governmental system. Pulse Tasmania quoted the honourable Eric Abetz prior to the election as saying that, 'tough decisions are what elective representatives are for, even when they are not popular.' Specifically, he stated:
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I think of John Howard introducing the goods and services tax, (GST), highly unpopular, nearly cost him government. Three years later, everybody said what on earth was that about?
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Without debating on whether elected representatives are there to make electorally unpopular decisions, there is a simple fact that is being overlooked: any supposed mandate to make an unpopular decision must also come with a strong business case and provable future benefits to Tasmania. To use the GST example, it had a strong business case and it has had a lasting, positive impact on the Australian economy. The first and second Tasmanian Liberal minority governments have both failed to provide any viable business case, as I will discuss shortly, and they are committing Tasmania to another millstone of debt that will weigh heavily on our future economy.
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Warnings from well-regarded and experienced economists in the Eslake and Gruen reports have been deliberately ignored, with both major parties refusing to even acknowledge the damage that they intend to pose on Tasmania's finances. Simply put, by bullishly ignoring wise counsel and good advice, the government and the opposition, in an undemocratic policy decision, are damaging the reputation and financial integrity of Tasmania. The recent Moody's ratings downgrade of Tasmania's credit rating to the lowest of any state or territory in Australia, equal to the Northern Territory, I think, is a damning indictment of the government's fiscal management.
Days later, it was no surprise when S&P did the same, singling out the Macquarie Point stadium and very weak budget metrics. After 11 years in power, the government has no one else to blame but itself. An inevitable stadium debt blowout that would be a final nail in our debt coffin. We have to acknowledge that we did have the COVID situation during that 11-year period. It's simply a bad idea. The Liberal minority government has failed to instil confidence in its delivery of existing large-scale projects. We need only to look at the ongoing fiasco surrounding delivery and operation of the new Spirit of Tasmania ferries as a prime example, complete with the corporate blame game about the yet-to-be-built TasPorts wharf in East Devonport. Dare I mention the condition of our roads?
Adding to this mess, it was exasperating to see the Premier dismiss the Auditor-General and his team, who correctly raised concerns and reported the TT-Line to ASIC for trading whilst insolvent. The Premier's response followed an all-too-familiar playbook, as he called the Auditor-General's finding as just one man's opinion: an insulting and Trumpian response to a statutory regulator, one who is acting diligently to ensure a state-owned company is operating with probity and within established legislation.
What hope do we have for any open transparency on a stadium's finances, when the government operates with the cavalier 'trust us, she'll be right' attitude and shoots down the whistleblowers?
If we cannot trust the government with more straightforward and far less complex projects than the stadium, why should we, in the house of review, trust the government to manage and spend billions of unconstrained Tasmanian dollars on this financially corpulent project? Past performance is usually a sound indicator of future outcomes, so maybe we realistically need to think of the worst possible outcome, and then some, when it comes to a stadium.
My two broader concerns can be summarised quite succinctly: the stadium as it stands at Macquarie Point is a bad idea. Moreover, the government has given us no reason to take its word as gospel that it's a good idea. There is no evidence we can trust that the stadium will deliver a net benefit to Tasmanians, but plenty indicating otherwise.
A couple from Swan Bay wrote to me, providing a list of a few reasons in a nutshell why the majority of Tasmanians opposed the stadium:
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(7) Macquarie Point is the completely wrong site due to being too small and far too environmentally hazardous.
(8) Demanding a stadium in order to finally be granted a licence to have a Tasmanian team was an outrageously unfair condition.
(9) Premier Rockcliff's willingness to sign such an agreement, no questions asked, without consulting his Cabinet, the parliament or the Tasmanian people was equally outrageous.
(10) The cost of building a third stadium has blown out way past the initial estimate. No wonder several economists have stated the project is unaffordable and it will be the Tasmanian taxpayers who will bear all the cost overruns.
(11) The stadium has been described as multipurpose, yet various people knowledgeable about the entertainment industry and responsible for organising tours of big musical shows have all stated such gigs won't include Tasmania in their itinerary. Why would they, given the logistics of getting equipment, stage props, lighting, sound and entourages across Bass Strait. Far too expensive.
(12) Claims the stadium will be economically beneficial for the community to build them have been rubbished everywhere in the world. They don't. Most are unused and/or underused and are a drain on local economies. The cost of hiring venues for smaller events would be prohibitive. A white elephant is an excellent description for those monuments to sport.
(13) Claims conventions and conferences will be held at the stadium are equally optimistic. Nowhere else have these such events been held in every stadium. Totally unsuitable.
(14) Claims the stadium will provide jobs, jobs, jobs are nonsensical. Australia's struggling to find enough construction workers as it is, and there are certainly not enough in Tasmania already.
(15) The stadium has been accurately described as too big, too architectural, inappropriate, insensitive to its surrounding, would negatively impact the Cenotaph and do nothing to improve the enjoyment of the TSO concerts at the nearby concert hall.
(16) Finally, over half the Tasmanian population have said consistently they don't want a new stadium. They know we don't need one and we certainly can afford one when our public hospitals, health and education systems are in crisis. We have far too many people living hand to mouth, living in their car, in a tent because there isn't enough public housing. This is where the priorities lie, not a shiny new stadium. That is a monstrous demand and really does beg the question as to whether the AFL seriously wanted to grant Tasmanian team in the first place.
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The proposed Macquarie Point Stadium is not the only cash cow looking to be fattened by the grazing on the debt in this lush paddock. Earlier this year, surprise surprise, we were informed by the media that build costs of the proposed Kingston Centre of Excellence has blown its budget. This time from the reported $65 million to an explosive $105 million in just under two years - a 75 per cent increase. Indeed, the latest figure being floated around I believe is $130 million. I had to fight tooth and nail to get a portal for the health practitioners in this state, for doctors for VAD, at $1.5 million. That would be 50 portals just on the increase and they just click their fingers and gave an extra $70 million. Is the government budgeting on the back of a napkin? They surely would have known the $60 million was just a pipe dream.
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There was no apology, no or little explanation by the government, just an acceptance by this government who plucked an extra $70 million from the never-never to continue with the build. Perhaps the builders took note of the Premier's certainty and bred their own cash cow to eat up some of that free money. The new Kingston cost is a live example of Shamus Mulcahy's warning on the builder's whip hand when it comes to variations and cost blowouts, especially with a weakened government client.
The $130 million is not even included in the Mac Point stadium build costs, nor costs associated with the completed build. That's a separate bucket of AFL footy money coming from all Tasmanians. My gosh, how many of our most necessary human service providers could do with an extra $70 million? No questions asked: just give us the $70 million. And it's not even part of the Mac build. It's unbelievable.
There's talk of how a stadium will grow the Tasmanian economy with untold riches, and yet there's no research out there to prove it. The truth is the opposite, with established bodies of economic metrics research showing that neither major sports events nor new stadium construction projects typically have any appreciable positive effect on income and employment at a regional or municipal level.
One factor that can make a difference is the building of an iconic structure that goes beyond its intended purpose. Think of the Eiffel Tower, as we've heard, and Pompidou Centre in Paris, the Sydney Opera House and our very own MONA. These are iconic structures that define a city and bring pride to its residents as an integrated part of the city's identity and sense of place. They're also a proper size for and visually integrated in the locations in which they are set - but we all know that MONA is not making money.
In a national and international context, Hobart is a unique city that naturally attracts high-end tourism with money to spend. It's obvious that the Macquarie Point stadium would be a Tom Sharpe-scale blot on the landscape with the architectural value of a lozenge. It will be a build that will completely overwhelm Hobart's character and irreparably change it, and not for the better.
We are letting this stadium be built right on the front of our most beautiful and iconic heritage city - one of the few left in the world - and we're going to put a stadium there. It's absolutely scandalous that's what we're doing for generations to come. That will take away the value that Hobart has to offer when people cruise up the river coming into our beautiful port.
Even major players in the visitor economy, such as Federal Group, which the stadium purports to benefit, has opposed the proposal. I was amazed that we had presentations from Federal Group - an industry group that has been known to make money out of our state. That's fine; that's part of their purview - but for them to come and say that they didn't want the stadium to go ahead is something that we should listen to.
What follows are quotes I've taken from Federal Group's submission which sum up the key concerns raised - and this is not meant to dampen the enthusiasm of the 15,000 people that showed up to support the stadium, because they wouldn't know this. They got there to support their football team. They wouldn't hear the stuff that we hear. However, it's not our job to be caught up in the fervour and say, we've got to support this stadium because 15,000 people showed up. We've got to be listening to people like this.
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Federal Group said:
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Despite sustained engagement over a significant period, both through formal correspondence and informal avenues, there has been no attempt by the proponent to address, resolve or acknowledge the issues Federal Group have raised. This is not a shortfall in consultation etiquette. It is a failure of precinct-scale planning logic. A project of this magnitude and intensity, located within an already active urban waterfront, cannot function as a self-contained asset. Its footprint, construction phase, and ongoing event operations will necessarily disrupt the functioning of adjacent uses.
Our concern is not with the principle of renewal or the value of strategic infrastructure. It is with the method. A project of this scale cannot succeed if it displaces rather than integrates, or if it advances without accountability to those most directly affected. The issues raised in this submission are not matters of inconvenience. They reveal a structural contradiction between the project's stated intent to enhance the precinct and its effect on the day-to-day function, accessibility and viability of the adjacent uses.
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Federal Group continued by stating:
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The economic case is simply not profitable. It is net harmful. It represents a form of economic regression for the area, diminishing existing value, displacing viable activity, and imposing ongoing costs to the state without generating offsetting return. If the site were left undeveloped, the precinct would continue to deliver high-value economic outcomes consistent with its identity and urban logic. It would support future investment aligned with heritage and tourism, including adaptive reuse and mixed cultural activation. This trajectory is not speculative; it is evidenced by existing trading patterns and future investment plans already under consideration (e.g. Retlas Foundry Hotel).
The stadium will not only underperform against the established economic baseline of the area into the future, but it will also actively undermine it. The stadium will generate net negative value, not just simply because it fails to produce enough benefits on its own, but because it reduces the benefit being produced by others in the area. When the full economic burden of the stadium is accounted for, even long-term non-development represents a stronger economic case. The opportunity cost lies not in its under-utilisation of the site, but in the disruption of a precinct that already delivers more.
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It was explained to us by the Shelley Penn in the Tasmanian Planning Commission. She gave a really good example. She said the MCG can cater for, let's say, 100,000 people. It's the scale of where it sits and fits within that landscape; it sits there quite nicely. It's not imposing. People can move in and out of it. The Mac Point stadium, at 23,000, the scale of that, in the limited space that it is, has a huge impact on the surrounds and that environment. If you think about going to the MCG, although bigger grounds over there, where this is going to sit, right at the heart of our city, is just wrong.
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I can also appreciate those individuals for the Mac Point stadium will probably dismiss and downplay Federal Group's viewpoint by saying it is looking after its own interests. Do these interests conflict with those of Tasmania though? Federal Group, in investing millions of dollars into developing high-quality hotels and hospitality in Sullivans Cove, has absolutely abided by the planning and heritage rules of that particularly sensitive location. Federal Group has done this willingly and with great empathy and yet the government has torn up the rule book for its stadium as a direct insult to proper process. The Premier seems to think these rules are for thee and not for me. Of course, Federal Group is concerned in this sense, because by failing to abide by planning requirements for this location, the government will detriment each and every business in the vicinity.
Federal Group is a longtime successful employer in the Tasmanian hospitality and tourism industry and is well placed to provide commentary on business propositions and major infrastructure builds in Tasmania. It is involved in most of them. It has skin in the game and a proven track record. We must take note of its rational thinking as a profit-driven entity. We must respect its knowledge and experience. If a business with intimate knowledge and every reason to want a stadium to do well is concerned, why is not the government?
Furthermore, as a key member of the stakeholder group, which is the hospitality and tourism industry, they raised concerns about the unwillingness of the government to address their input. To me, this once again shows that the Macquarie Point stadium is an under-prepared and ill-thought-out venture. It baffles me that the government would not work alongside business enterprises such as Federal Group. The quotes from Federal Group and its entire submission underpin an ongoing and fundamental failure in planning, preparation and consideration given to the stadium.
The failure to address concerns of key community, political and business stakeholders has permeated not only the proposed stadium itself, but dealings with the AFL - interactions with important checks on governmental exercise of power and the deal which the Premier has unilaterally committed us to.
The numbers simply do not work. The case for the stadium made by the Tasmanian Liberal government relies on unrealistic numbers, hyperbole and spin, using prominent AFL players and ex-players as financial and economic experts while ignoring the real economists. It overlooks existing criticisms and concerns, and disregards the primary needs of Tasmanians.
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Dr Peggy James provided a very thorough submission. In her email to me, she writes:
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As you must know:
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• the billion plus public funding will seriously compromise the state's ongoing budget position.
• All stakeholders concede that the benefit-cost ratio for the project is less than 1.0, confirming more costs than benefits for Tasmanians.
• The stadium will only have a few thousand extra seats compared to Tasmania's existing AFL stadiums; and will stand empty for most of the year.
-Independent expert reports and public polling show that both experts and most Tasmanians oppose the stadium project.
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Dr James then said:

As a planner, I'm frankly incredulous that the future of the strategically important and complex Macquarie Point site is currently being determined by a mainland football executive and a ... Premier. Accordingly, I fear not only for Tasmania's future budget and essential services, but also for the future of the Hobart region and informed democratic decision-making.
If you feel that you require more information on the matter, I will direct you to the 100+ Proponents reports and diagrams, 14 agency submissions, 800+ public submissions, and the TPC Panel and Gruen reports currently available online ... I would respectfully suggest there is more than enough information available to understand why the proposal should be rejected.
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Dr James continued by writing:
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If you are interested in the issue of construction jobs associated with the proposed stadium, then I would urge you to read about the health and safety risks to the construction workers at the still-contaminated Macquarie Point site. And I would urge you to ponder the alternative construction and other jobs that hundreds of millions of dollars of public spending elsewhere could provide.
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I turn now to the AFL stadium deal itself and, more importantly, the viability of AFL stadiums in their own right. For those with eagle eyes and interest in the AFL, the release of the AFL fixtures for 2026 may have drawn their attention. In 2026, and prior to the finals, both the Marvel Stadium and the MCG will host around 45 games each. For both stadia that's the working annual average. Both now have a concert season. The MCG hosts Test cricket, while Marvel is the home of the Big Bash team, the Renegades. Both stadia host in the vicinity of 65 to 75 arena events a year. Don't be misled, this is where the revenue comes from to make these venues viable as there's a degree of subsidy for AFL games, especially so with the AFL-owned Marvel Stadium.
At the MCG you could reliably suggest that nine or 10 individual events each year attract crowds of 75,000 to 100,000 people. The AFL Grand Final, the Anzac Day and Boxing Day Tests are jewels in the crown. With a smaller capacity many football games at Marvel Stadium - under the roof - also attract capacity crowds and their concerts just about lift the roof off the stadium.
It's not widely known that the master plan for Docklands Stadium, which was built at the cost of $450 million in the late 1990s, was supposed to host 100 arena events. That's 100 events on the playing surface over the course of a year. At that time there was also an agreement with the AFL and the then Docklands Stadium owners, and this is critical, which mandated that the AFL would fixture approximately 50 AFL matches a season, as well as the occasional final. This provided the stadium with financial security.
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Before too long, 100 events proved fanciful. It was never going to happen. Nonetheless, initially it had been felt such a volume of content was needed to cover all stadium costs and make the venue profitable for its owners and investors. That is relevant to our situation. It was felt that 100 on-field events were needed to ensure the stadium was viable.
In that initial effort to host 100 events the stadium incurred both financial challenges and reputational damage. Many would remember the long-running furore over the venue's playing surface. Arena events other than AFL, such as concerts, RMIT graduation ceremonies, State of Origin Rugby League, resulted in some excellent revenue streams including admission fees and corporate packages - that's dining, admission, drinks and VIP seats - as well as general retail and hospitality returns.
On the other side of the ledger, the downside was huge. It came in the form of turf replacement costs, particularly when concerts were backed up against sports such as AFL, Big Bash League and A-League fixtures. The reputational damage occurred because - often in full glare of television audiences - the turf was not replaced or sufficiently prepared for upcoming events. Twenty-five years later, I'm told that the stadium area management team has become expert at managing the ground in conjunction with the retractable roof. However, it is still a delicate process.
The arena turf management team - some have been in that role for years - would say that they can make the turf presentable, but they can't weave magic. In other words, if multiple concerts are jammed up against AFL matches, cricket or soccer, there will be issues. In a nutshell, if the arena calendar doesn't provide breathing space and a rest for the ground, the playing surface falters. If the turf management team had a preference, the turf will be grown in situ. In other words, it will be regrown naturally. While the laying of new turf generally ensures the arena looks good on television, it may be hard under foot, slippery and may even lead to inconsistent bounce. In other words, not only a roof but also the hosting of major concerts can result in unforeseen challenges. Do we want that scenario in Tasmania? Are we prepared to risk it? And who has explained how it will work? The answer is: no-one as yet.
Undeniably, for the entirety of the Docklands Stadium's life, the AFL's agreement that 45 to 50 games will be fixed each season provided the venue with financial security. Also, with the Southern Cross train station located nearby and the closure of Waverley Park, which was the AFL's home ground, the Docklands could not fail.
Macquarie Point has none of these assets, advantages or guarantees. At the moment the proposed stadium at the most will host seven to eight, maybe 11 or 12 home games. It will also host five or six Big Bashes. It may even get three or four smaller concerts. That's 22 or 23 potential capacity events on the arena a year. There is no guarantee that Test cricket will be played under the roof. It's not just a case of plucking some big soccer games or other sports. The venue management will need to look at the stadium close to 50 or 60 times a year if the stadium's bottom lines look anywhere near respectable at the end of the financial year.
My other advice is that a fixed roof is more than likely to present added problems. A translucent, immovable roof will be something entirely different and new for the AFL. We will be the guinea pigs. Questions such as who has made this judgment and the rationale for such infrastructure have not been answered. I was advised that the key personnel at the Dockland Stadium, up until a few weeks ago, had not been consulted. They comprise the groups that manage the only roofed stadium for the AFL code in Australia, yet it's my understanding their advice has not yet been sought. A roofed stadium for AFL codes in Australia, yet this advice has not been sought.
Turf requires sunlight, movement of air and lots of water for a healthy surface. The constant closure of the roof immediately negates against a healthy surface. It's why the owners and the executive of the Docklands approximately 20 years ago went to the Netherlands to explore the possibility of purchasing grow lights which add warmth to promote both a healthy turf and grass growth, particularly in the dormant winter months.
At the time such infrastructure was being used by English Premier League and European Football stadia. I am reliably informed that when the grow lights were first used at the Docklands, the power bills went through the roof. In other words, a roof adds a lot more expense, both in terms of power bills and the need for constant watering. These are issues that, I'm told we won't understand until such a proposed stadium exists.
It should also be noted that only a few years after the Dockland Stadium opened in the early 2000s, entrepreneur Kerry Stokes and Channel 7 chose to relinquish the stadium's ownership. Stokes obviously discovered it was not a cash cow, so the then stadium senior executive was given the onerous task to find new owners. The then management team at the Dockland Stadium produced a collaboration of financial and superannuation institutions to invest and assume governance and fiscal responsibility. That model existed until the end of 2017 until the AFL purchased the venue several years ago.
During the previous 17 years, I am told ownership comprised something of a revolving door. In other words, financial institutions came and went. In terms of the owners, there was not a huge amount of longevity of tenure. Today, under the AFLs ownership management, Marvel still annually hosts a similar number of arena events. There are approximately 75 events, which of those includes about 45 AFL events as per the initial agreement.
At Macquarie Point we are looking at between seven and 12 matches. Financially it does not stack up. I know that we are supposed to have seven games in Hobart and four in Launceston, but I heard it stated in the forum that the cost of those four games in Launceston would be around $1.5 million a year. Over a period of five years, it would cost about $6 million or $7 million if they played those games. That's why I've got some concerns that within five years the games won't be played in Launceston because of the financial implications.
To protect some of the revenue for the owners the well-known Medallion Club was implemented. The Medallion's Club's 5,000 to 6,000 members became the stadium's critical financial generator. Membership costs began at $5,000 per year. I don't think we have 6,000 people in Tasmania who could afford to pay $5,000 a year. Extending membership contract means discounts but the sales team always strive to generate the longest possible contracts, which is six to 10 years. More often than not, memberships were bought by big, medium-sized and smaller corporations for their clients and staff. I wonder how Tasmanians would feel about the formation of elite and exclusive high rollers Medallion Club. It would include the stadium's best seats but to secure a membership you will need to contribute that sort of money. How many people do we know have $5,000 to prop up a stadium? Maybe the government knows of a few.
Mr President, to highlight the Docklands Stadium's hardline approach, for 12 years a policy was implemented which refused patrons permission to bring commercially prepared and purchased foods and drink into the stadium. For instance, Nando's and Subway opened retail outlets within a 'punt kick' from some of the main entrance gate. However, the stadium's events day staff were directed not to allow patrons carrying such products into the venue to make sure the hospitality contractors inside had a captive market to justify their high rents and high prices. The policy was changed around 2013 following several years of negative press and complaints from patrons.
Prior to the AFL buying the stadium I am advised the venue generated an income of approximately $100 million per year, but still there was a view from the owners that their return on investment was insufficient. Publicly, the AFL Docklands tenants - Western Bulldogs, St Kilda, North Melbourne and to a lesser extent Essendon and Carlton - constantly demanded a greater match day return. This was despite the fact that clubs had signed contracts with the stadium owners and, in most cases, as I understand, the contracts were countersigned by the AFL. Much of this controversy can found on Google.
I suppose what I'm trying to say is it's just not the build; it's the operation and the risks that we're going to be taking with our limited resources. A lot of these risks won't be known until we've put a roof on a stadium that hasn't been tried anywhere else, a translucent roof. Only when that roof goes up, we heard from Cricket Tasmania, would there be a possibility of signing off. What if it's not good or if it doesn't work?
The biggest critics were those clubs that attracted the smallest crowds. Clubs such as North Melbourne, Western Bulldogs and St Kilda publicly demanded more revenue from the stadium even though the bulk of their rusted-on supporters were members, which meant that in most cases they paid their membership fees directly to their club before a season commenced. In other words, those clubs weren't contributing greatly to the stadium's revenue and debt recovery.
Still today, with a multinational catering company, a brewer, security, cleaners - all operating under contracts and monopoly arrangements - plus significant Victoria Police costs, there are many, many sticky fingers in the stadium's financial pie.
We are told the Tasmanian government stadium will be a different model. It's known that the new Tasmanian stadium's Chief Executive, James Avery, was close to influential and prominent Australian economic and political leader, Tony Shepherd, who I believe is still the Chair of the Sydney Cricket Ground Trust. It's probable that James, in collaboration with Tony and the AFL, will have an outline as to how a government-owned stadium might work. However, despite such a powerful collaboration it needs to be noted that one thing the AFL club, GWS, also run by Tony and James, has failed to build big game day attendances at Giant Stadium, which is just 26 minutes from Sydney CBD.
GWS recently boasted 36,000 members, although such a number does not seem to transpose itself into 'Melbourne-like' attendances on match day. When GWS was conceived, the AFL would have projected that the overall membership and match day crowds by 2025 would be far higher than they constantly are.
The point is that the AFL can't control the numbers that attend matches and that stands to be one of the biggest challenges in Tasmania given the state's decentralisation and the distance to Hobart from the footy heartland in the north-west. My view is that for the Tasmanian team to be viable and therefore successful needs the physical, emotional and financial support of all sports-loving Tasmanians, as well as expats nationally and overseas. A financial member of the club is equally important whether they come from Zeehan, Port Sorell, Circular Head, Devonport, Ulverston, Sandy Bay, or for that matter from Brisbane or even London or New York.
If arena 'content' is insufficient at Macquarie Point, which on current estimates it seems probable will be the case, in time the AFL will shoot from the hip and fixture all its Tasmanian games at the Hobart venue. The Launceston matches will no longer occur. Bear in mind that the AFL controls the fixture list and where the high value games will be played. Without too much effort you could anticipate the AFL will convince the broadcasters to mount an argument which supports their case. To suggest they won't move the goal posts is naive. It is not the way the AFL operates.
It was wonderful to see the 15,000 people here at the rally. I know that there were people from all over the state. The people I stood next to at the rally were from Burnie, people I knew, and they had travelled down specifically, but that was from the state. If you look back at over the last four or five years, most of your bigger crowds have been in Launceston. Four to five thousand on average in Hobart; 12,000 to 15,000 in Launceston.
What will it eventually look like, Mr President? I'm advised that with 10 or 11 games in Hobart, four or five in Launceston, maybe seven or eight in Hobart, and draw your own conclusions as to what that will mean for membership statewide and support of the Devils from Tasmania's north and north-west regions.
I don't believe throwing everything at Hobart will be a success. My beliefs are based on some of the information above. By all means base the team and its players in Hobart. It makes sense to locate the team in the capital, but at least for several years games should be shared between Hobart and Launceston. The club and the AFL can establish patterns and collate data related to crowds, memberships, corporate support, et cetera, and from there, a clearer picture will emerge about the determination of locations and where games can be played and the establishment of key infrastructure.
While purely a football issue to make Tasmania as competitive as possible, shouldn't the club be afforded the home ground advantage? Hawthorn has become nearly unbeatable at York Park, mainly due to Tasmania's unique playing conditions - the conditions in which Darrel Baldock from Latrobe learnt to play football.
Interchanging locations between the north and the south would be a massive bonus for the new team. If the team is well coached, developed and organised, and a combination of experienced players and young talent are recruited, the club is likely to make a solid start. From that club's foundation, membership will flourish. Playing the bulk of the matches under a roof, however, will negate a home ground advantage. In 25 years, only two of the Docklands tenant club, that's Essendon and Western Bulldogs, have won premierships. Essendon won the premiership in 2000, the first year of Dockland Stadium. The team was already a powerhouse, and some would say its failure to progress to the AFL grand final in 1999 was the impetus for its success in 2000.
Tasmania is ready for its own AFL team and we're ready to have it based in Hobart. It just makes sense for the games for the first three or four years while we're getting our feet to be played between Launceston and Hobart. That would give our government a chance to fix the coffers so that it's in a better situation than it is at the moment. What we're doing is we are throwing our team in with the stadium because we think it's got to work.
The expenses of running a team and a stadium at the same time when we've got spiralling debt is not good business case, it's not good management. You wouldn't do that in your business. You wouldn't walk into a brand-new business, build a brand new shop, get a brand-new team without knowing if it was going to be successful. You would get in there; you would work for three or four years and then you'd build something. If they did that and the government had that approach instead of being fisted into this stupid deal that we've made, we wouldn't be having this argument and there would have been more than 15,000 people there and there would be 15,000 people in Launceston at the rally.
This is the wrong decision and it's this place that is going to let it go through. To draw your own conclusions, Mr President, I don't believe throwing everything at Hobart will be a success. No, I don't want to hear it again. From there the club and the AFL can establish patterns and collect data while purely a football issue to make Tasmania as competitive possible. Shouldn't the club be afforded the home ground advantage?
Possibly what best summarises the business model for Marvel Stadium is a slogan and mantra which was adopted during its first 17 years of private ownership. I believe it's fair to say the AFL, which purchased the stadium near the end of 2016, has kept a similar approach to running the stadium. The slogan is, 'Content is King'.
I'm going over this because it's really important that when we make a decision, we have all the information that we need to make a decision. It's just not about the team today and building the stadium. It's about the ongoing success of it. There is no evidence to suggest that we are anywhere near the figure of content.
The other slogan which has made its way into the public domain is that the Marvel Stadium is the busiest in the world. In other words, the action on the ground barely ceases and revenue is also generated by a public car park, approximately 2,500 parking spaces. The stadium is always open for business in terms of conferences, seminars, gala lunches and dinners.
Another phrase I'm told is often used is that 'it's barely worth a round of drinks'. It was made in regard to conferences and seminars. The commercial drivers of the stadium were predominantly interested in the big-ticket items. It's the major events such as big AFL clashes, big concerts, NRL, State of Origin and clashes such as the Australian Wallabies versus the British and Irish Lions which paid the bills, it paid the salary of workers and kept the owners of the stadium satisfied.
I also take this opportunity to read a very pertinent statement a constituent sent me regarding this matter. My apologies for my pronunciation of this: (OK)
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I live in Hokkaido, Japan's Tasmania, population of 5 million. Sapporo, the capital city, has 2 million. Sapporo built a huge dome just like the one proposed for Hobart.
It had everything going for it, healthy city coffers to pay for the dome, World Cup Soccer games, megastars to tour, a major baseball team, subway to the site, 230 flights a day, a nearby population of 115 million, and under 6 hours flight away from 50% of the World's population. Yet, the Sapporo Dome is now a financial disaster.
The big international acts? Almost none. It's usually domestic tours or K-pop groups. Superstars like The Rolling Stones and Eagles played there once, nearly 20 years ago, and never came back. Why? Because shipping 60 truckloads of stage gear across water to Hokkaido costs a fortune.
For Tasmania, it's the same story across Bass Strait.
Even being the home of the Prefectures Professional Soccer team and with naming rights from a huge conglomerate, it barely breaks even. It struggles to fill with popular local acts, sometimes rugby games and the rest of the time it manages to give out 100 to 120 small events a year - flea market style. It survives with a skeleton staff and part time workers when there is an event large enough to open the shops and bars.
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​The five million people have to provide money to attract acts and to attract concerts.
The Premier and the Tasmanian government have also continuously stated that the stadium will provide aspiring Tasmanian youth with another reason to stay in the state. The Premier stated in January2025:
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We will not be deterred from creating jobs, prosperity and opportunity for Tasmania. Especially young Tasmanians that want a future in our beautiful state ... We will never let our young people down who want to dream big.
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I've got to put this on the record. I was a teacher, I know that young people are exciting, and they deserve everything they want, they've got hope and all of that. I get it. I was a physical education teacher, so I understand the whole sports thing.
My honourable colleagues, I put it to you that this argument ignores the reality of Tasmanian sports, recreation and lifestyles. It is wordsmithing spin, trying to build a solid foundation of thought based on platitudes, social and emotional guilt. We have any number of sports and arenas in which our young people excel beyond simply Australian Rules Football. Rather, soccer, cricket, basketball, hockey, cycling, athletics, swimming and each have been growing in popularity and participation in these sports and continues to have a natural ebb and flow. These sports all need significant amounts of funding investment to upgrade their facilities to ensure that our young people continue to participate. For a fraction of the cost of the stadium deal we could support these sports for decades. We are talking a few million rather than hundreds and hundreds of millions.
We have to understand that football, even though there has been an increase in recent times, is an irregular blip. There has been a kick or a bump in activity without a stadium. It's because we've had a 10-foot devil on the steps of Parliament House the other day called Rum'in that excited and had all the people in their tops and jumpers. There's no stadium built, and a lot of those young people wouldn't even realise.
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For instance, an item on Football Tasmania's Strategic Plan - when I'm talking football now, I'm talking the about the round ball - 2024-2028 Competitions and Pathways Pillars included the delivery of a Tasmanian A-League club. To minimise confusion. Mr President, in my speech when I referred to Football Tasmania, I'm referring to soccer - the game played around the world and not just in Australia. Such a licence would support the aspirations of thousands of Tasmanian girls and boys in playing for the Matildas and the Socceroos with a comparatively small investment. Soccer is Tasmania's most played team sport. It has 34,000 people involved at all levels of the game, compared to an Australian Rules at 23,000 and a figure that's 25 per cent uplift on the year before due to the publicity and extra funding for AFL in Tasmania and includes the school-based Auskick program.
It's good that Auskick has improved, but it's still 10,000 people behind soccer. The parents I speak to love their football, whether it be AFL or whether it be soccer. I know parents are a little bit more concerned about the contact as kids get older with football, and I will just leave it at that.
However, for every dollar Tasmanian soccer receives in funding, $28 is invested in Tasmanian Australian Rules football coffers. For every dollar we give to soccer, we give $28 to football. Yet there are 34,000 involved in soccer and 23,000. As a phys-ed teacher, I just want kids to get fit and active. If it's $28 for a kid to play football, and it's $1 for a kid to play soccer, I think we've chosen the wrong sport or football code - and that comes from somebody who's played football.
Our numbers are decreasing. It's because of our volunteer base. It's because you used to look on the west coast and there used to be six or eight teams playing. You look on the east coast and you would have had teams, and you lose some of those teams - even on the north-west coast, and some revive back, which is great. But if you look at the future, what's the future of our sport? We talk about a 50-year stadium. Is AFL going to be the sport in 50 years or is soccer? If we look at those two sports, soccer is the world game.
Whilst I do have an AFL background, I am the patron of the hugely successful Devonport Strikers Club and the patron of the Devonport Junior Soccer Association. In the middle of the year, 141 junior soccer teams played in Devonport on a Friday, Saturday and Sunday long weekend and the Lakoseljac Cup was played at the Valley Road complex. I'm still on the appeals tribunal of the North West Football League and I have been for 25 years. I was the [inaudible] at the Latrobe Football Club, so I love my football as well. When I see the comparisons of what we're spending and what the people are playing, what we're going to put at Macquarie Point that will overshadow our city, I don't think it's worthwhile.
Going back to the AFL, we already have two perfectly serviceable venues in Launceston and Bellerive, which have catered for many games of AFL, Test Cricket and other community sports and events. I'm not against a new build; I think a new build has potential. I really do. I don't agree that that's the place to put it. I agree that it could be Hobart, and I think there are other greenfield areas. We just have to improve our method of transport to get from that point to that point, to put our stadium in a better spot. That's doable. That method of transport could also help to go out to the JackJumpers' games and we could use their car parks. We could come down the river, and you wouldn't have the angst that we have now.
We wouldn't upset the RSL. We wouldn't upset our Aboriginal groups who have a sacred site. We wouldn't upset the view down the river if we can move our stadium out to where the JackJumpers play. It makes sense to me. Where's our community expanding to now? We're going out to Brighton. That's going to be the geographic centre of Hobart in 50 years, because we have no place than to go that way. Yet we're going to have all these people from all over coming into our little city centre and we have all these problems that exist.
The Hobart City Council report says that of course the money is going to be good, but everything else they said in their report is not good. Everything else they raised was not good and we're ignoring that. We're ignoring that here, and it's not right.
I initially wrote a response to this legislation before the last election. I wrote that 'the deal really is nonsensical and if it wasn't so serious, I, like other members, would be waiting for another Utopia video humorously portraying the Tasmanian circumstances'. Just on 20 November, Pulse reported that the ABC has commissioned an entire satirical series on this with jokes that write themselves. The stadium debacle has turned Tasmania into a national joke - I don't think they expect us to take it on - 570,000 people and you're going to build a roofed stadium, and you're $10 billion in debt?
Did people realise that very few Tasmanians - and it could be because they have to travel away - male or female, play in the AFL? In the last 25 years we have averaged less than four young men. That's not to say we shouldn't have a stadium and we shouldn't have to aspire our kids to do that. We have the talent here. We don't have the population. They don't have the competition when they're young, but that will happen.
Furthermore, young Tasmanians aspire to many things. The arts, music and creative sectors fundamentally underpin Tasmanian excellence. There are many areas we want our young people to dream big. However, if this financial white elephant gets passed, those Tasmanians will not be able to be financially supported by this government to realise their dreams. They're not going to have the venues for their dance productions; they're not going to have the venues for their swimming pools. Those other sports are not going to have the funding because there won't be any funds there. It doesn't matter if we commit $26 million a year over the next four years if there's no money there.
If we look to economic success and return on investment, the stadium is an absolute dud; with an estimated return of less than $0.50 of every dollar, unless you're the Coordinator-General, and that was based on one of the earlier and cheaper cost estimates. If we're truly looking at the future, let's look to Ireland. After a three-year pilot, Ireland had just implemented and expanded a basic income scheme for the arts that will provide a weekly taxable payment of about $850 a week to 2200 participants to provide some assurity and stability to those in creative industries. The three-year pilot demonstrated an average cost benefit ratio of €1.39 for every €1 of public money invested in the scheme. This ratio went up to €1.75 so far for 2025, investing in the arts. Here, in Tasmania we close down art courses. With Hobart's internationally recognised connection with the arts - can we leave the AFL alone and go to town following Ireland's lead with MONA as our champion?
There's a quote from the editorial of The New York Times in May this year that can draw us further into this line of argument. It said:
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... stadiums are monuments to the poverty of our civic ambitions and our inability to summon the collective will to use the land we have for the things we need. They are distractions from our inability to build anything else.
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I will say that again:
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... stadiums are monuments to the poverty of our civic ambitions and our inability to summon the collective will to use the land we have for the things we need. They are distractions from our inability to build anything else.
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A new stadium will come with an incredible opportunity cost, one that will prevent us from supporting other equally worthy activities, many of which have a far higher following than AFL.
As mentioned, we've had a few Tasmanians get to play in the AFL, but thousands and thousands of young Tasmanians have different interests. For over $1 billion the stadium supports primarily one sport, with questions about its efficacy for cricket or likely use for other sports. Maybe the odd concert, conference or dinner here and there; so now we can call it a 'multipurpose stadium'. If one needs an example, the Tasmanian Jack Jumpers have shown above and beyond Tasmanian excellence in sport for a mere $20 million in a promised community multi-sport facility and $68 million for the Derwent Entertainment Centre. That's good value for money, nobody would deny that, and it brought our state together. It pulled our Tasmania together after COVID, it had something to do. Everybody, even people who didn't play basketball, got on board. This one is driving people apart and it shouldn't have happened that way.
Earlier this year we heard from the honourable member for Elwick regarding the desperate need for substantial investment in community basketball infrastructure across Tasmania, noting that is the number one sport for adults in Tasmania and number three for children, growing by more than 9 per cent each year since 2020. The recent motion stated that there was a shortage of 31 courts statewide, and investment in the state as well as Greater Hobart is needed.
I put to you that it is not solely a problem with basketball, rather facilities for all sports in Tasmania as significantly below standard and needs substantial investment. Rather than investing nearly a billion dollars into a stadium directed at tourists and a few select players, the government could improve the state of all sports for Tasmanians. I get it, we have members of my age and little bit younger and a little bit older who want to watch a Tasmanian football team. We get it, they've been wanting it for years; they want to do anything for it, they want a stadium because it's our ticket to get a team, but it's not the sport of the future.
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Victoria Morton, the President of the South Hobart Football Club wrote me an email outlining the perspective of Tasmanian soccer participants, highlighting many of the issues I have just discussed. Particularly, Victoria wrote:
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“My message is simple: this stadium is being designed for elite AFL and cricket, not for the thousands of Tasmanian children who play sport every weekend for fitness, friendship and community connection.
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For years, government investment has overwhelmingly favoured AFL — ovals, elite facilities, high-performance centres and now a new stadium with long-term commitments to support an AFL team. With the recently signed cricket agreement, the stadium is clearly being built for elite professional sport. It is difficult to understand how AFL became the Government’s sport of choice when participation metrics show that football (soccer) is the sport most Tasmanian children actually play. There has been no transparent comparison of sports or assessment of community need by this Government. Fairness in funding should reflect participation and community impact, but that has not occurred here.
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Meanwhile, other sports in Tasmania are left to feed off the scraps offered through small competitive grants, and I fear even these will disappear under the huge debt this project will place on all of us. As a taxpayer, the debt I will carry will not support my sport of choice, my volunteer hours or my 20 years of advocating for better facilities. Instead, it will be used to prop up the AFL and an extravagant vanity-project stadium at Macquarie Point. Everything we have worked for — fair access, better facilities, recognition of football’s growth — risks being wiped away because one sport has been given everything while the rest of us are left begging for scraps that will no longer exist.
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When we sought modest support for Tasmania’s entry into the National Second Division — less than one per cent of what is being committed to AFL, and a genuine national pathway for young Tasmanian footballers — the response from Government was not enthusiastic. Soccer continues to be treated as an afterthought, despite carrying the greatest load in community and grassroots participation.”
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Mr. President, as I have stated repeatedly, imagine what our teams could do with just a fraction of the spending by the State on the AFL. She then went on to say, Mr. President:
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“Soccer is not asking for billions. We are asking for fair, proportionate investment that reflects participation levels and the community value football provides. Your decision will determine whether thousands of children get the facilities they urgently need or whether football and community sport are sidelined once again.
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This is not anti-AFL. Many of us support a Tasmanian team. But not at any cost, and not when every other sport risks being left behind. This decision is not just about a stadium — it is about what kind of sporting future Tasmania chooses for its children.”
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Earlier this year, I received related sentiments from another constituent. He stated:
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Proponents' emotional claims around young people running out onto a specialised stadium are just emotional appeals. If the government was serious about fostering junior sport with development pathways, it would be spending money on grassroots facilities, clubs, coaching, equipment and equal access to all sports, not just the elite level of a specific sport.
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It is well known that physical literacy and activity is declining in young people. We need to support every opportunity for young people to engage in physical activities and sport, and not just the government's preferred AFL. Supporting a wide base of grassroots sports will make a positive impact on the health and wellbeing of Tasmanians and their children. A new stadium will encourage them to be involved, encourage them to support, but it won't always encourage them where we need it to.
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​I received a recent submission on the AFL stadium that also highlighted various probity issues within the AFL. Notably, it mentioned the symbiotic nature of the AFL and gambling, and the risk of the stadium becoming another stage for gambling. Amongst other things, it also raised the illegal drug culture; steroid abuse; sexism concerns in the AFL; the health risks such as alarming concussions and head injuries; and finally, accountability issues. I did have one parent, and I'm sure they won't mind, say to me:
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We've got 50 girls playing football and they have one changeroom or one toilet. That's not fair. Build the stadium.
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I wrote back and said thank you very much for your point of view, I really appreciate it, blah blah blah, but I couldn't see the connection. If they said to me, of the money you're going to spend on that building, if you gave us a couple of hundred thousand, we could build another toilet, another change room at our football ground for our girls, I could have understood that reasoning.
On that gut note, gambling addiction in Tasmania is already a huge issue. Having chaired the select committee inquiry into gambling, it's clear that the government has failed to act on many of the recommendations of that report. A high school teacher and mother wrote to me in mid-October with a well referenced email reflecting on the peril that gambling poses to younger Tasmanians. Some highlights of that email that I would like to reflect on include:
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Victorian Responsible Gambling Foundation CEO, Shane Lucas, observes, 'Young people are given the impression that gambling on sport is normal and risk-free.' Likewise, the benefits of children's sports are well supported, but research also tallies the negative health of youth exposed to sophisticated gambling campaigns.
The rise in youth gambling correlates with the rise in gambling advertising. Grattan Institute reveals that gambling normalisation starts young and advertising is a major culprit. The Australia Institute reports the gambling industry spent $239 million on advertising last year. AFL sold streaming rights to Foxtel (formerly owned by News Corp, now DAZN) and Seven media for $4.5 billion, in order to on-sell to gambling advertisers. The Guardian have self-imposed a ban on gambling ads, while Nine, Seven and News Corp are yet to follow. News Corp currently owns punters.com.au, Racenet, and the Las Vegas online gambling investment fund, Tekkorp, and recently targeted Pointsbet in an unsuccessful bid. DAZN's chief executive, Shay Segev, said: 'The convergence of sports media and betting is the future.'
On March 13th, 2025, the Financial Review reported the pubs and clubs lobby group, the Australian Hotels Association, funded and successfully lobbied the Federal Government to prevent the banning of gambling ads, which also acted to protect AFL and NRL income. Yet according to the AFL Fan Association's survey of 3000, 75% of AFL fans, who rally around grassroots community football, are concerned and wish to ban gambling advertising. One viewer recorded 70 gambling ads in a single game.
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AFL sponsor, Tabcorp, whose CEO is former AFL boss, Gillon McLachlan, our own Devils Stadium contract architect, specialise in online gambling, is recently being investigated for money laundering!
The international AFL sponsor, Sportsbetters, is being investigated for breaches of anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism laws. Anglicare Tasmania warns sports betting is hooking a new generation of gamblers. This year the AFL sought to increase sports betting takings, which encourages betting agents to coopt harmful micro-inducements.
The gambling industry benefits from the 'not-for-profit' status of sports teams who not only avoid tax but receive free prime public land, infrastructure, and public funding for their businesses. Since 2022, AFL donates a token 10% of profits to community grassroots football. Is this a fair deal for our community? Is it a good return for your taxpayer subsidies?
In 2023, the Australian parliament released 'You Win Some You Lose Some', the Murphy Report into online gambling and gambling advertising which recommended 31 gambling reforms to be implemented over a period of 3 years. Not one yet has been implemented.
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A Tasmanian-born academic also wrote to me with Australian and international research on the impacts of stadiums, pointing to three particular peer-reviewed papers. Of those papers, two particularly stood out to me as very important in discussing the prevalence of gambling in the AFL, and the role that the new 'smart' stadiums have as communications and technology infrastructure designed to enable advertising and real-time gambling, benefiting the sporting league rather than communities which house them. With the ban to block young people who are under 16 from accessing various social media platforms about to begin, what is going to be done to block gambling advertising from AFL games in Tasmania? This is both on-ground and in-TV advertising, and will such ads be banned in our existing stadiums and the new one?
Moving on, a common theme in the letters and the emails I've received on this matter are concerns regarding the use of the land. The heritage impacts, damage to the Hobart cityscape and the continued issue with remediation each provide a reason against a stadium build. Just as importantly, it's been brought to my attention that there are better uses for this land which should not impose the same difficulties in planning and social, economic or cultural costs as the stadium.
Tasmania relies on its heritage to attract visitors, and its heritage offerings and relatively visual peacefulness are signs of a significant part of the attractiveness of Tasmania. The stadium, especially how and where it is currently proposed, will impose significant risks to this heritage asset.
I take this opportunity to read excerpts from a submission by a constituent who has a lifelong record in heritage conservation, advisory roles in government heritage bodies as well as private advisory groups. David Kernke wrote to me the following:
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If approval is granted to develop a stadium on this site, not only will it have an immediate detrimental impact on the adjoining heritage precinct of Hunter Island, the Constitution Dock and Salamanca precincts due to its size, bulk, scale and built form, there are very real prospects that it could sound the death knell for the adjoining historic precincts and indeed the City of Hobart, by paving the way for future inappropriate development. This is incredibly serious. We are at a crossroads here and you, the elected representatives of our state, must carefully decide whether or not to sanction a proposed stadium development on Macquarie Point. A stadium on another site that does not threaten our built heritage and tourism drawing power is not an issue. But a stadium on Macquarie Point is a big issue and a big problem. That being the case, may I respectfully ask that you carefully consider the economic benefits to Tasmania that our unique built heritage brings to the state.
Whilst only a handful of Australia's early buildings from colonial times survive in the mainland cities of Australia, that is not the case in Tasmania. In Hobart we are fortunate that many of these wonderful assets have survived - gifted to the inhabitants of Tasmania by the legacy of our forebears. However, this situation can change quickly if inappropriate and short-sighted decisions are made by governments. If approval is granted for a stadium to be built at Macquarie Point, Hobart could slowly morph into just another Australian capital city, devoid of character and historic architecture, but with a stadium. If a stadium is developed on a site other than Macquarie Point, a site that does not threaten our unique tourism, drawing built heritage and unique capital city, then that will be a great bonus, a great decision and an excellent outcome for Tasmania and all Tasmanians.
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If we build a new stadium, but not at Macquarie Point, we will get the same benefits. Sure, we might not have so many people walk through town to find a bar after a game of football, but I'm sure there will be enough who will get on the train and come back or the buses will come and the boats or the ferry that have to accommodate in the city centre here anyway.
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To reiterate, the proposed stadium at Macquarie Point, with its massive scale, height and modern construction will overbear this historic area and form an entirely unsympathetic backdrop to Hobart's most important heritage precinct at Sullivans Cove/Hunter Island. The damage of this colossal and dominating intrusion, including that over at Constitution Dock and Salamanca, will be irreparable and is likely to lead to future inappropriate development throughout the immediate heritage precincts in Hobart City, a 'domino effect', forever changing our unique city.
If a stadium, subject to the normal planning processes is developed, or redeveloped, on a site other than Macquarie Point, that does not threaten our unique tourism drawing built heritage and unique capital city, then that will be a great bonus, a great decision and an excellent outcome for Tasmania and all Tasmanians.
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I can just hear other politicians and other people saying,'Look, let's just build it. It's been so long now let's just build it and get it done with. Even though we know this is not the best decision because it's going to impact our state forever. It's going to impact, but let's just build it because we've got the design, we've got the money, we've got the licence, we will get the team'.
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Let us build it, but build it somewhere else so we don't wreck what's already beautiful in Hobart. Mr Kernke also noted the recent NRE commissioned research into the contribution of built heritage to Tasmania. Particularly, it underpins our tourism and construction industries, community liveability in Tasmania's overall brand. Moreover, it directly supports 2,085 jobs and indirectly 2,967 jobs, directly contributing $375 million to the Tasmanian economy, and indirectly $589 million.
Various other interest groups including the Glebe Residents Association have also written to me with their concerns about the impact on Tasmanian heritage. Various prior examples of work on the Macquarie Point have been brought to my attention as involving community input for such issues, for example, the MONA Vision from Macquarie Point involved substantial community consultation and community buy in.
Meanwhile, in creating the stadium proposal, the government, with its innate hubris, has ignored all previous work, conspiring in secret and utilising a legislative majority to ram it through without any community input. Mr President, I must ask why is this so? What is it frightened of?
As was raised with me by a constituent, the Gehl report, which underpins the Hobart City Council's inner city development plan and approach to future development in Hobart, recommends the following:
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'Given the extraordinary location of Hobart Railyards, the waterfront should be celebrated by an urban formulated public space relating to its highly urban situation. The buildings at the Hobart Railyards ought to hold a multi-functional mix of use, within the buildings and within the individual quarters.' The site should 'Ensure passive surveillance by placing residences low and in close contact with public space. Build low and dense and avoid tall buildings creating problems at the micro-climatic level.'
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However, we've had members of this place and the Premier saying, let's just do something with it. We haven't been able to figure out what to do with it, so let's put a stadium on it. Well, if we can't figure out what to do with it, put the stadium somewhere else and let the next generation figure out what to do with it. Let's not just bury it away for the sake of the stadium.
It's unfortunate the predominant planning and development regulation body in Hobart, the Hobart City Council, acknowledges this reality while the government simply ignores and overrides it with the proposal, which is entirely out of context with the vision being implemented by the Hobart City Council.
Notwithstanding the question of the impact of the stadium on heritage and the unsuitability of the site in relation to the cityscape, there are also simply better uses of the land and the money.
In 2017, the Macquarie Point Development Corporation produced its reset masterplan for 2017-2030 based on the MONA vision. As the then-minister for State Growth Peter Gutwein said at the time:
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The Macquarie Point redevelopment is ideally positioned to stimulate the broader economy, attract investment, and create jobs.
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The corporation then went on to engage in a community-wide consultation with over 250 key stakeholders. I quote from the resulting plan:
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'... to provide opportunities for input into the reset vision and enhance community ownership and commitment to the reset.' The defining principles for the site that came out of the process are to:
Involve a mix of uses; be people-focused; support inner-city living; be well-connected to the broader Hobart environment; respect the site's history; incorporate principles of sustainability; not prejudice port activities; complement and not compete with activity in the CBD and greater Hobart area; and deliver major socio-economic benefits to Hobart and Tasmania.
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​These defining principles are fully supported in Federal Group's submission that I spoke of earlier. However, the government has ridden roughshod over this considered approach to impose an enormous, domed roof structure which is to be 54 metres high - 10 to 12 metres higher than the neighbouring Grand Chancellor Hotel.
In a related vein, the environmental impact that this bill will have is worrisome. To quote a concerned couple from Sandy Bay:
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Then there are the horrific environmental issues attached to the location where the AFL insisted this monument to a sporting code had to be built, and that will add to the overall cost of the project due to the difficulties of first cleaning it up. The toxic sludge on the Macquarie Point site is a significant health hazard as well as a logistical nightmare. Sea level rise will only add to this.
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Mr President, Tasmania decries the stadium situation as a disgraceful and miserable idea because neither the numbers nor the business case made by the government makes any sense other than as a despotic attempt to force AFL into the centre of Hobart.
The government has swept damning report after damning report under the carpet. It has used unrealistic expectations to boost the purported profitability of the stadium concept. It fails to recognise issues with the construction and real cost of blowouts. Various damning reports have been submitted to the government, including those by Dr Gruen and Saul Eslake saying much the same thing. Yet, I note that they have not received nearly as much coverage as they should have. There has been an utter failure by the media to appropriately and fairly cover the extensive submissions made against the stadium. The Tasmanian Planning Commission report is an apt example, highlighting practical issues with transport design, funding concerns, heritage, visual and scale impacts, and governmental mismanagement of the stadium.
The Hobart City Council has briefed some members of the Legislative Council. I don't think those qualified professionals and elected members could even believe that the stadium project would have progressed this far. I was under the distinct impression those present did not actually believe that there might be a chance that this uncosted and unwarranted waste of taxpayers' money could still be on the table.
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As well as the government slandering these critical reports, it has clearly used fanciful expectations to prop up its business case. For instance, Macquarie Point Stadium -
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To reach capacity, let alone make a profit, will be reliant on unrealistic expectations on interstate travellers and Tasmanians alike. Yes, there will probably be a novelty effect for a year or two, but research shows a natural return to average levels. I note the summary of a research roundup of the value of public funding for a sports stadium by journalists, Clark Merrefield:
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Research conducted over decades indicates public investments in sports stadiums almost never lead to massive economic gains for host cities.
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Moreover, there are real questions to be raised as to whether the stadium can be built in what will be a rushed timeframe, with severe financial penalties embedded in the Premier's deal. I must question, why would we be paying penalties to an outside organisation if the build which we fund doesn't happen on time?
As I first discussed, there's a real likelihood for a stadium, which is acclaimed as 'the first of its kind in Australia', to suffer an unbudgeted cost blowout. An example of what could be built on a brownfield industrial site for the same sort of money is the new Everton football stadium in England. The Hill Dickinson Stadium opened earlier this year, built at a cost of roughly $1.6 billion with a capacity of 52,769 people and without a covered roof. Interestingly, Liverpool City Council was to be a loan guarantor for a significant part of the cost, a facility that is now unnecessary as Everton Football Club has arranged all the necessary finance through private means. If only the same was true of this stadium's finances.
There must be a big problem as there have been no commitments made regarding the management of potential budget blowout, or what contingencies may be in place and likely, this will also land as a nasty surprise on the shoulders of the Tasmanian taxpayers. This is especially likely given the government's inability to find willing private co-investors.
I note that the budget has already blown out to $1.13 billion, and not a red cent more. Who foots the $200 million increase since the last dollar figure, you may ask? Apparently, Tasmania does, or so the government decided behind closed doors. The government has managed to blow out the cost of the proposal by more than 20 per cent: that's another $200 million before a shovel has even touched the ground. While the Premier is not even sure whether the legislation will pass, he fails to secure private investment and adds $200 million to the price tag. Consequently, Tasmania must pay much more than the initial proposal.
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I could have said the exact same thing the last three times this project went up in price. What we can be sure of is, exactly like a mediaeval rack as a notorious instrument of torture. the ratcheting clicks of the growing costs will only ever increase the tension of our already overstretched state finances. With the stadium builder in charge of the winch, we will have no chance of relief.
Even irrespective of this recent blowout, how can the Tasmanian people expect this project will stay within the estimated budget? The government has failed to give consideration to so many issues and ignored community and professional concerns. How can one expect any project to stay on budget when it fails to consider and address or mitigate likely social costs, likely financial imposts and lost opportunity costs?
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When I first spoke on this matter, I stated the following:
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I suggest that the premise for the deal has changed completely with the cost blowout unless the AFL can function as the guarantor for any government costs over the much publicised $375 million then the stadium cannot be part of the deal. Just as a parent being asked to be the guarantor on a child's mortgage or a business loan. Previously, some of my constituents were in agreeance with the AFL team linked with the stadium and made assessment and judgment on what was initially announced, but surely the game has changed.
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Since then, Madam Deputy President, we have a $200 million increase in price, the state cannot find any private backers, and inevitable cost blowouts are now obviously going to be footed by the bank of mum and dad, and every other Tasmanian. Frankly, the already shaky quasi-positive assessment made by supporters, when the stadium was 20 per cent cheaper, were assuming the existence of a private backer in a public/private partnership. This does not a mandate make and is even more so now as the value proposition becomes increasingly lopsided as the costs inevitably escalate. As such, I urge supporting members to reconsider their support, consider the general anti-stadium sentiment of the majority of Tasmanians, the obvious lack of a mandate or proper process, the lack of planning, and the escalating fiscal crisis that the stadium will just exacerbate.
We've heard from other people about other major infrastructure bills both in Victoria and New South Wales, and Brisbane with the Olympics coming up in 2032. Our role is not going to get cheaper. With these considerations in mind, I put to you that a responsible member of the Legislative Council should not and cannot in good conscience vote for this proposal. As the final check on parliamentary decision-making it is the imperative that those items which have passed the House, no matter who introduces them or what agenda precedes them, must be thoroughly examined.
Having to bypass proper procedure and subvert rule of law to pass a broadly unpopular proposal strays from representative governance and fundamental democratic values. As such, it is even more important that merits of the stadium proposal be rigorously scrutinised. My honourable colleagues, I put to you the following questions in considering the merits of the proposal, as a writer from Kettering put them to me: ​​​
(17) will the stadium add ongoing quality of life value to the Tasmanian community;
(18) is it fair for the whole Tasmanian population - including all regions and those who aren't interested in Australian Rules football; and
(19) is it economically justified - including consideration of how the money might be spent on other pressing priorities - and that the enormous expense could be avoided by using existing sports venues?
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​Tasmania is allowing itself to be provided an ultimatum, between a bad deal or no deal at all. Tasmania should not have to choose between its own financial wellbeing and a team. This is frankly insulting and it is laughable that the current government has simply accepted the ultimatum and chosen the worst option of the two.
With the opposition Labor Party capitulating to the will of the government by supporting the proposal, despite its mixed messages and prior commitments to act as a functional opposition, one must question whether this legislation is receiving the level of parliamentary oversight it clearly desperately requires. Pulse Tasmania quotes the honourable Mr Rockliff as saying that, 'every MP will get a vote on whether the stadium will go ahead. Yes or No. If the vote is no, it is all over'. How can the honourable Premier say that, knowing full well that at least now in the lower House, members of the government, supported by the opposition, will vote on party lines?
The first time I spoke on this matter, I put it to you that Tasmanians 'are not supportive of an AFL team if it comes at a cost of the Tasmanian economy', and that this 'is a direct affront to what is expected of responsible government. The government, through its failure to recognise the demands of the Tasmanian people, has placed itself in an untenable position'.
It is my view that this point stands stronger now more than ever with increased spending, an ever-dwindling base of public support and the lack of a mandate, or a viable business case that does not rely on millions of dollars of public subsidies. It's not in dispute that Tasmanians want a team - they clearly do - but what they clearly do not want is the cost of the stadium deal that will run the risk of bankrupting us.
In my view, this proposal has already divided Tasmania while undermining what little remaining confidence rural Tasmanians had in their representatives. Instead of addressing the desperate shortage of affordable housing, crumbling hospitals, lower socioeconomic rates and mobility within rural Tasmania, the government spends a billion dollars on the stadium. All the while, the government continues to complain about budget deficits, excessive spending and proposes privatisation of public services and public infrastructure necessary for rural and regional Tasmanians. The major parties are neutering their own representatives in rural and regional Tasmania, forcing them to vote against their own interests and those of their electorates. This will not serve the state well, nor is it in a form representative of the people.
The tactics the government has used to achieve this goal are appalling, undercutting democratic procedure and debasing due process. Meanwhile, the government relies on conjecture to underpin its florid rhetoric.
Labor has an obvious exit strategy and a possible political win in this situation. Rather than backflipping, they have the opportunity to present a refined position based on the evolving circumstances of the proposal. A well-thought-out investment in facilities for AFL is not inherently a bad idea and would likely find the support of the majority of the state. As the primary opposition, the Labor Party should side with the majority of its constituents to present a logical and more strategic policy approach. Instead, there's total capitulation and a failure to even acknowledge the concerns of those they represent.
Regardless of individual members' feelings about the Macquarie Point Stadium, I have many times heard in this place that proper process needs to be and should be supported by parliament. What is occurring now is not proper process. It does not pass the pub test. No matter how much media spin and tinsel the government wraps around this enabling legislation, it is not acceptable. This enabling legislation should not proceed just because the government says so.
We know there are swathes of issues and problems with the stadium proposal. The government has out-of-hand dismissed various alternative stadium plans and locations that would have seen better outcomes, private investment, and a far lower risk factor. It's almost as if the government as a whole has stamped its foot and declared, 'Daddy, we want another stadium and it must be at Macquarie Point.' Perhaps it's still not too late. Mr Willie can bring a healthy dose of reality to the Premier's position and temper the AFL's expectations by allowing his members in this place to vote.
Should the proposal go ahead, it's a wicked and complex problem where once started it cannot be unscrambled. Each relatively minor issue that is not addressed now - for example, parking, city planning, impact on heritage and the Hobart skyline - will cost tenfold to rectify once the build is complete or even under way. Simply put, mismanagement of public funds, the lack of public support, the lack of transparency, and the opportunity cost are fundamental issues which undermine the integrity of the project.
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Dr James also made the following comment to that concern:
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...finally, if you feel that you must vote with your heart as well as your head, then I would urge you to feel some empathy for those who will undoubtedly be hurt by the $1 billion worth of professional football stadium-related public spending.
Every day, Tasmanians are already suffering and struggling due to current underfunding in sectors including health, housing and education - and the cuts (or the tightening of the belt) that will inevitably follow massive stadium spending will only harm many more.
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When we toured the new bridge at Bridgewater, one of the things we're all impressed with was that they talked about how many years had led to having it all mapped out. I believe they said 2013 was their first look at it, and then they went back in 2015 and 2017. They had it all properly planned. Haste makes waste. In this situation, we have to have it built by a certain date and time, and that worries me.
I would like to illustrate to those listening what Dr James means by people suffering. No, I won't, although I will go to here. There were two or three examples of health-related issues where the system is failing from a financial - we know about that, but I'm just putting that on the table, because there's some particularly good comments by paramedic staff. However, I realise the time.
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I think these are everyday examples of underfunding in sectors including health, housing and education, of which Dr James was referring. Whilst none of these issues may appear to be relevant to those who insist on allocating a huge amount of public debt on a third AFL stadium, to those people such economic redistribution very much defines and impacts their lives and the opportunities within them, but we hear from the Treasurer that there will be no negative impact or financial impost. I always thought that governments need to look after the real needs of their people first, before wasting money on the wants of the AFL, which at the end of the day is a mainland multibillion-dollar corporate entity. Think of the things Tasmanian communities could use that money for supporting grassroots sports, housing, education, healthcare, health literacy for years to come. Instead, we squander it on risky and poorly thought-out proposals which a number of Tasmanians do not want.
I will end my speech with a final damning statement, which is quite long, put to me by a constituent:
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How does the average Tasmanian - someone who is not against a football team, or measured & considered progress - have their voice heard in this situation? I demand more from people who are meant to serve the majority of this state's population, not the too-loud minority.
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​That the government has allowed Tasmania to enter such a poor deal as this in the first place, and that it has remained staunchly in support of the deal above all other considerations, is appalling. It is a bad deal perpetuated by even worse advice and should be reconsidered.
If the government and opposition refuse to alter course, I'd like to remind them of The Rime of the Ancient Mariner, a salutary ballad that echoes so much of the stadium debate.
The government's insistence in forcing the state to bypass statutory planning procedures, as well as ignoring damning assessments such as the Eslake, Gruen and TPC reports is alarming. Meanwhile, the changing stance and capitulation of the primary opposition party has becalmed it completely in the eyes of the electorate.
The Premier is a decent man at heart, but it appears that he has near-terminal case of 'stadium disease' - one that has now taken him into a second minority government as he wriggles and squirms to find new ways to bypass agreed pathways and due process.
I will continue to oppose the stadium in its current form and where it's built. Ideally, I would like to see the stadium proposal substantially reconsidered, and Macquarie Point scrapped entirely. There are at least two alternative, and far safer, options out there that can be reconsidered if this one fails. I hope that the Legislative Council will fulfil its role as a check on irresponsible and poorly thought-out lawmaking.
I did attend the fantastic, unfortunately wet, rally on Sunday, and it was an amazing turnout with wonderful speakers and great support from the community. The AFL cannot dismiss the passion reaffirming that Tasmania deserves an AFL team. I believe that 80 per cent of the state, possibly even more, support a Tasmanian team but, unfortunately, not at any cost and not with a new stadium at Macquarie Point. It was a great turnout on Sunday. The organisers would be very pleased and the speakers were varied and great.
In a nutshell, first, most Tasmanians want the best for the current, next and future generations including jobs, health, happiness, housing, sporting success, arts, culture, lifestyle, safety, security. Second, most Tasmanians are ferociously supportive of our own AFL and AFLW teams. Third, many would support the building of a new stadium somewhere in Hobart - although to be honest, most from my electorate would prefer Launceston to be the home of football and Hobart to be the home of cricket and basketball. Finally, many people, including the Tasmanian Planning Commission, the Hobart City Council, the RSL, Heritage Tasmania, the Aboriginal community, economists, architects and thousands of Tasmanians, are ferociously opposed to a new roofed stadium at Macquarie Point.
I really enjoyed the optimism of the young lady who spoke with us, saying that our Tasmanians will move on once it's built. We know that Tasmanians, many Tasmanians, are annoyed with what's happening.
I've heard the Premier say on numerous occasions there is no plan B. I realise, as you do, that he is reinforcing that the AFL made it clear that without a new stadium at the centre of our city there will be no AFL teams. I must admit that ultimatum grates on me a bit, but it's what our Premier, the government and the opposition have agreed to, apparently regardless of the case.
However, that's not the plan B that I am referring to. Plan B will be needed when the vote is taken in this very Chamber tomorrow and people across the state realise what that means. The result is the same whether the stadium continues or whether it does not.
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On one side, there will be Tasmanians incredibly pleased with the outcome of the decision. On the other hand, there will be many individuals hurt, upset and even angry. Indeed, a very knowledgeable business economist friend of mine said, 'How can you give conditional support for safeguards that only happen in the future?' When we sit here and say that we're going to have these safeguards for the future, that's not going to occur.
How will the Premier and his media manage the wide range of emotions experienced across Tasmania on Friday? How will the very pro-stadium media send a message to all those Tasmanians who are out there annoyed and cringing? Leadership is not about looking after those who are in the tent. Leadership is about tending to those Tasmanians who are outside and trying to get them to come back into the camping ground. There must be a plan B, Premier, otherwise this healing will not happen. I am sure the AFLW and AFL teams are already considering how they can reach out to those people if this goes ahead.
In closing, I was talking to a Yes team, Yes stadium person. We were texting at 3.30 a.m.
this morning, having a very respectful conversation about the position we were in. I wrote:
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You can sense I'm frustrated that it has come to this, and I am hugely disappointed with the process that least Tasmanians with a divided community supporting our own AFL team which could have and should have galvanised and brought the community together like the JackJumpers, but nothing could be further from the truth.
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I will not and I cannot support the order.
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